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Tropics check: Three southern points of interest Friday morning

Atlantic disturbance formation chances Friday morning
Posted at 4:07 PM, Jun 20, 2024

TALLAHASSEE, Fla. (WTXL) — There are no areas of tropical activity that would threaten the northern Gulf or the Big Bend region through Independence Day.

However, there are three zones of action being monitored:

  • Moisture in the southwestern Caribbean has modest chances to develop into a tropical depression over the next couple of days, but its rapid movement toward the Yucatan Peninsula region, and movement over the land mass itself, would hinder opportunities to strengthen significantly.
  • A second quick-moving vigorous tropical disturbance several hundred miles east of the Lesser Antilles is pegged to have a high chance to become a tropical depression over the next couple of days. It will move over a warm patch of Atlantic waters with a moderate amount of dry air to its north. Upper winds are not very strong, so there is ample support for the disturbance to get better organized as it approaches the Caribbean this weekend. Current trends keep the system moving in a west to west-northwest direction through the middle of next week with a gradual strengthening trend foreseen. Interests in the Windward Islands of the Lesser Antilles will likely see impacts first.
  • A recently identified third zone follows in behind the second zone in the Atlantic. This system will not likely form with chances low of organization over the next 48 hour and 7 day monitoring period. This system will likely not have the same atmospheric conditions for favorable formation as the system in front of it does.

Beryl is the next name on this season's tropical storm list, followed by Chris.