UPDATE (1/16/2026):
4:00 p.m.:
Expectations for a rain/snow mix are generally low, but exist in their greatest extent for counties and neighborhoods in southwestern Georgia and the tri-state junction (the area where Florida, Georgia, and Alabama state lines meet). Trace occurrences can happen east of there to the US 319 corridor. All of these are focused on Sunday morning in the hours around sunrise.
Snowfall amounts in any instance will be less than 1" with no accumulation in most areas.
UPDATE (1/15/2026):
5:00 p.m.:
As of this afternoon, models continue to flip back and forth. There continues to be a slight (20-40%) chance for some flurries, but that is if everything lines up perfectly. What is happening with this front is the cold air has a chance to catch up to the precipitation associated with the front, possible leading to mixed precipitation or snow flurries. There are two scenarios:
1. The cold air holds back and does not catch up to the rain leading to an all rain event ahead of the front with temperatures dropping afterwards. (This has a greater chance)
2. The cold air catches up to the rain and cools us off while precipitation is falling and leads to mixed precipitation or snow flurries. (This has a lower chance)
We want to emphasize that models will continue to flip with every update and nothing is set in stone as of right now, but we will continue to keep you updated both on air and online.
10:00 a.m.:
It hasn't been a year since the last significant winter weather event happened on our local landscape, producing several inches of snow in the tri-state and leaving layers of sleet in many other neighborhoods.
As we approach the one-year anniversary next week, some mid-range signals hint at a less impactful, but still possible, spurt of mixed precipitation for parts of the region Sunday morning, ending in the afternoon.
Existing chilly air is expected to be reinforced over the weekend by another cold front Saturday night through Sunday morning. This will be at a time when a streak of upper-level energy causes a strip of showers to possibly develop in the Gulf through sections of the Southeast. The freezing line is what to look at when coming up with this forecast. Yesterday's models had the freezing line further north. However, some models updated this morning, which are suggesting that line drops further south over our area. This will likely change a few more times as new forecast data is calculated.
Showers and cold air are common, but there are things to consider before believing dreams of a whiteout of sorts would come true again:
- Forecast trends have been inconsistent for several days on how this streak would form and be capable of causing showers or more. There is no agreed-upon trend that would increase confidence in a winter-weather scenario.
- We would need precise timing of the coldest air, the deepest moisture, and the appropriate time of day (likely morning) to encounter a round of wintry weather.
The local National Weather Service, along with some computer-derived forecast data, still show mixed or frozen precipitation chances (with actual accumulation) in the tri-state region of less than 20%. As fresh data is received and processed, we will better understand the realistic chances for any showers, sleet, or snow that can come about from the weekend frontal system setup.
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