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Rain for most, isolated strong storms for some late Thursday

Storm Hazard Scale for late Thursday 01/12/2023
'Slight' risk of severe storms possible for South Georgia Thursday night
Posted at 9:23 AM, Jan 11, 2023
and last updated 2023-01-12 05:58:00-05

TALLAHASSEE, Fla. (WTXL) — UPDATE: 1/12/23 AM

The only update we need to provide for our storms moving in Thursday is the elevated risk of a stronger storm or two for parts of our Georgia counties.

A 'slight' risk (2/5) has now been issued by the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) for parts of South Georgia.

This means we could have a few aeras of heavy rain, isolated stronger storms with gusty wind, and a lower-end chance of a tornado through the late-night hours tonight.

The timing of these storms start in the tristate area around sundown (6-7 PM) with storms progressively moving east through central-southern Georgia and central areas of the Big Bend later in the evening before moving out around 5-6 AM Friday to the southeast.

First to Know: Thursday thunderstorm forecast (01/11/2023)

A 'marginal' risk of severe thunderstorms is issued for our area by the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) for Thursday night.

This is the lowest threat level of severe storms, meaning isolated cases of severe thunderstorms with wind gusts of 58 mph or higher can occur within affected counties.

Broadly speaking, breezy southerly winds will support gusty winds for our area Thursday afternoon, prior to any storms.

The storms will approach later in the afternoon and evening, associated with a cold front entering the tri-state region Thursday evening.

Ahead of the front, storms are expected to move through the tristate area first around 6-7 PM Thursday night.

Storms continue their push eastward and start to weaken as they approach our eastern counties (I-75 corridor).

By Friday morning, storms will have diminished, and showers will start to come to an end by sunrise Friday.

Most of the impacts will happen while we are home after work or school Thursday night and leave before heading back to work or school Friday morning.

Rainfall amounts will range from a few hundredths of an inch, to one inch in isolated cases.

Stronger storms in central Georgia and Alabama (north of our area) will be possible Thursday afternoon.

These areas are under a 'slight' risk (2/5), and an isolated tornado threat is possible with gusty winds with these storms.