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Tuesday evening First To Know Tropics check (10/11/2022)

Gulf disturbance formation chance (2pm 10/11/2022)
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Tuesday evening First To Know Tropics check (10/11/2022)

A portion of the remnants for the former Hurricane Julia have moved into the Bay of Campeche in the southwesternmost Gulf of Mexico, where its warmer waters are allowing steady development and organization Tuesday afternoon. Now Tropical Storm Karl, it is projected to move slowly west or meander in those same waters over the next couple of days. The overall expectation is for the system to move toward the Mexican coastline producing heavy rain and squally conditions.

There are other waves of moisture across sections of the Atlantic basin, but faster upper-level winds should prevent any quick development of those systems.