Update
August 15, 11 a.m.:
As of the 11 a.m. advisory, Erin has been upgraded to a category 1 hurricane with winds of 75 mph. This is the first hurricane of the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season.
Hurricane Erin has began its northerly turn and is moving northwest at 18 mph.
Models continue to indicate a northerly turn, missing any US landfall.
August 14, 5 a.m.;
Tropical Storm Erin strengthened just slightly and now has winds of 50 mph. The system continues its westerly movement at 17 mph and is still expected to become a hurricane Friday.
Models continue to show a northerly curve in the long term.
August 13, 5 a.m.;
As of the 5 a.m. advisory, Tropical Storm Erin continues to hold its strength at 45 mph, but has slowed down just a bit. The system is now moving west at 20 mph.
The system is expected to continue to slow down towards the end of the week, but strengthening is still expected. Erin will become a category 1 hurricane Friday morning and a major category 3 hurricane over the weekend.
A turn to the north is still holding in the long term models.
August 12, 5 p.m.;
Tropical Storm Erin's movement and strength patterns are steady as it continues to have peak winds of 45 mph and moving quickly westward at 22 mph.
Strengthening is expected to continue over the next couple of days, becoming a category 1 hurricane by Friday morning and a category 3 hurricane Sunday as its center is predicted to be near or just north of the Leeward Islands in the Lesser Antilles this weekend.
Long-range projections continue to indicate to direct threat to the Big Bend from Erin.
August 12, 5 a.m.;
As of 5 a.m. Tuesday, Tropical Storm Erin is maintaining its strength with winds of 45 mph, moving west at 22 mph.
The system is expected to begin strengthening later today before becoming a category 1 hurricane early Thursday and a major category 3 hurricane early Sunday.
Long term models continue to have the system marching west and then turning northwest and staying over the open waters.
August 11, 5 p.m.;
As of 5 p.m., Tropical Storm Erin has held steady in its peak strength and expected forecast track.
The system is moving west at 21 mph and is expected to become a category 1 hurricane by Wednesday, with continued strengthening to a category 3 hurricane by Saturday.
Tropical Storm Erin is currently producing maximum winds of 45 mph.
As of right now, it is way too early to tell the exact path and strength that Tropical Storm Erin will reach; however, long-range signals indicate an eventual turn to the northwest while over Atlantic waters. We will continue to monitor trends closely in the days to come.
Original
A tropical wave moved off the coast of Africa over the weekend and was quickly tagged as Invest 97L. What this means is the National Hurricane Center is investigating the system; it is not a named storm yet.
As of 8 a.m. Monday, Invest 97 L has a 90% chance of development over the next 48 hours and the next 7 days.
The system started off as a cluster of thunderstorms, but is now becoming more organized and is likely to form into a tropical depression later today or Tuesday as it is heading into favorable conditions for development.
The system is steadily moving westward and is expected to continue to do so over the next few days.
As of right now, long term models have the system continuing to move west and eventually turning north, avoiding any interaction with the United States.
Being that this system just came off the coast of Africa, it is too early to tell the exact path and strength, so it is not a concern to us at this time.
If named, the next name on the list is Erin.
We will continue to keep you updated both on air and online!
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