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Thursday morning tropics check (08/15/2013)

Hurricane Season
Posted at 7:21 AM, Aug 15, 2013
and last updated 2014-05-02 08:24:08-04

As of right now there are two areas in the Atlantic Basin that we are currently watching. 

There is still a broad area of low pressure in the NW Caribbean that is associated with disorganized cloudiness and thunderstorms. It is moving WNW at 10 mph and is expected to affect the Yucatan peninsula later today. The system has been given a 70% chance for development over the 48 hours. My thoughts are that even if this system strengthens to tropical depression status that the only local effect will be increased rain chances for the weekend due to an increase in tropical moisture. Regardless of development heavy rain and gusty winds will affect the Yucatan Peninsula, western Cuba, and Belize over the next 2 days. 

Tropical depression # 5 formed last night in the far Eastern Atlantic...still over 3000 miles away from Tallahassee. The system is currently moving WNW at 16 mph with sustained winds at 35 mph and gusting up to 45 mph. This system will be in a favorable environment for intensification for approximately the next 2 days and then the system will be be entering a more stable environment where it will most likely weaken.