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Friday Morning First To Know Tropics check (06/14/2024)

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Posted at 4:13 PM, Jun 13, 2024

TALLAHASSEE, Fla. (WTXL) — The tropical low that caused the moisture flow in the Florida Peninsula has moved off the eastern coast, traveling over the Gulf Stream of the western Atlantic Ocean. While further development risk is low, whatever happens with it will not have a direct effect on the southeastern U.S. land mass. This system has a 20% chance of developing into a tropical cyclone over the next 48 hours.

A channel of moisture is forecast to produce waves of disturbed weather in the far western Caribbean and the southwestern Gulf of Mexico this weekend through next week. Occasional systems will ride northwest, embedded in the moisture feed. Locally, a zone of high pressure northeast of us will direct that moisture flow more to the northwest, meaning any disturbances that form will stay in the western half of the Gulf region and not create any enhanced hazards here through the middle of next week. As of Friday morning at 8 am EDT, the National Hurricane Center has increased the odds for tropical development in the region to 50% over the next 7 days.

Both areas of interest are not expected to impact the Big Bend or South Georgia.