First Alert Weather


Sunday evening Tropics check (09/23/2018)

Tropical disturbance (09/23/2018)
Remnants of Tropical Depression Eleven (09/23/2018)
Subtropical Storm Leslie forecast cone (09/23/2018)
Subtropical Storm Leslie (09/23/2018)
Tropical Storm Kirk forecast cone (09/23/2018)
Tropical Storm Kirk (09/23/2018)
Sunday evening Tropics check (09/23/2018)
Sunday evening Tropics check (09/23/2018)
Posted at 5:57 PM, Sep 23, 2018
and last updated 2018-09-23 15:05:59-04

TALLAHASSEE, FL (WTXL) -- A number of disturbances and storms remain active in the Atlantic Basin. We have two named storms, two disturbances, and a remnant low.

Tropical Storm Kirk is now about 700 miles southwest of the Cape Verde Islands with sustained winds of 40 mph. Kirk is expected to continue moving west toward the Windward Islands.

Some strengthening is possible early in the work week, but stronger shear near the Caribbean Sea is forecast to weaken Kirk by the end of the week.

About 1,000 miles west of the Azores, there are actually two areas of interest. Subtropical Storm Leslie is circled in red, while a disturbance is circled in yellow.

It's expected that a non-tropical low pressure could form by Wednesday and become mentioned above. By the end of the week, that low pressure could have tropical or subtropical characteristics. At this time, this area of interest only has a 30% chance of formation in the next five days.

Subtropical Storm Leslie has sustained winds of 40 mph, and is expected to continue meandering in the Atlantic over the next few days, before dissipating.

It is possible that once the previously mentioned low pressure forms just to the north of this storm that what's left of Leslie will be absorbed by it. Regardless, Subtropical Storm Leslie does not appear to pose any threat to land.

The remnants of Tropical Depression Eleven are about 300 miles east northeast of the Windward Islands. As the remnants of this system continue moving northwest, additional weakening is expected due to stronger wind shear.

Finally, there is a disturbance between Bermuda and the Bahamas that has limited rain activity associated with it. Strong upper level winds are expected to continue hindering the development of this disturbance. Right now, there is a 30% chance of formation in the next five days.