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Wednesday Morning Tropics Check

Hurricane Season
Posted at 7:33 AM, Oct 02, 2013
and last updated 2014-05-02 08:20:37-04

Checking in on the tropics, things are starting to get interesting.  Tropical storm Jerry out in the central Atlantic was nearly stationary on Tuesday. New models are showing the system is now in a westward drift, just south of a ridge in the Westerlies. Models are also showing the storm is decaying and should transition into a trough within the next 72 hours. It does not appear to be a major threat to any land masses at this time.

 Eyes are still on “Invest 97.” An area of low pressure that is moving Northwestward and could be near or over the Northeastern portion of the Yucatan peninsula later today. This system may also enter the Southern Gulf of Mexico by Thursday. As it enters warm waters, there is a chance for further development; it has a 30% chance of turning into a tropical cyclone in the next 48 hours.  Some of the tropical moisture from this system looks like it could make it to the Florida Gulf Coast by the weekend. We could see some heavier rain showers here on Saturday and Sunday.