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Wednesday evening Tropics check (08/20/2014)

Tropical disturbance satellite image (08/20/2014)
Posted

MIDWAY, Fla. (WTXL) -- A disorganized tropical disturbance a few hundred miles to the east of the Lesser Antilles island chain has been maintaining its recent form, with ample moisture around a somewhat broad low-pressure center.  The system is in a mildly favorable environment for gradual development into a better-organized tropical cyclone over the next few days.

A modest amount of dry air exists to the north and west of the system, and the upper-level winds over the Caribbean are moderately swift.  These two factors will slow any strengthening efforts.  However, water temperatures in the path of the system are well into the low and middle 80s.  The system will continue to move to the west or west-northwest through the remainder of this week.  

The National Hurricane Center places a medium to high chance for the disturbance to develop into a tropical depression within the next five days.  The system will be monitored closely for future movement and strength patterns.

A secondary tropical wave is located just to the east of the first system.  Its chances for development in the next few days are on the lower side of the possibility scale.

There are no other major features to highlight across the rest of the Atlantic basin.