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Snow in the Deep South? Don't count on it...

Sorry, snow lovers
Posted at 10:57 AM, Feb 03, 2021
and last updated 2021-02-03 11:15:16-05

TALLAHASSEE, Fla. (WTXL) — A few times each winter the long range global forecast models get a little too excited about the potential for wintry weather in the Big Bend and southern Georgia and more often than not we don't come close to verifying the forecast.

The image above is from the latest run of the European Global Forecast Model for more than a week from now on February 12th at 7pm. This particular model run blankets much of the I-10 corridor from Texas to Florida with trace amounts of snow and also brings a pocket of 7" totals to SE Georgia.


With the perfect combination of cold air from the north and Gulf moisture in place, this scenario isn't *impossible.* But what are the chances of this forecast verifying? Near zero.

These model runs are usually more for fun and for taking a trip to fantasyland without much potential that it will happen, since the odds are extremely low. The most likely scenario is that in the subsequent runs of the European model it will look wildly different and all of our snow hopes will be gone! So as always (especially with wintry and tropical weather).... take 7+ day computer model forecasts with a grain of salt.