MIDWAY, Fla. (WTXL) -- The suspicious blob of moisture north of the far southeastern Bahamas, which raised the attention of tropical weather watchers this week, is still in a disorganized state of being.
The system is being heavily impacted by a corridor of swift upper-level winds, which has kept the disturbance from gaining much strength.
The overall potential for the low to become better organized within the next five days remains in a medium-chance level. The upper flow will weaken as the holiday weekend approaches. The low, supported in part by a corresponding upper low cooler-air circulation, will move over marginally warm Gulf Stream waters off the Atlantic coast.
It is not the ideal set-up for a pre-season tropical disturbance to thrive, but a closed-low system is still quite possible as it drifts to the northwest toward the weekend time frame.
Late Wednesday evening, the National Hurricane Center maintained a 30% chance for further cyclone development within 48 hours, and raised the longer-range five-day chance for development to 60%.
Local impacts from the system, if this depiction were to pan out, would be a resumption of a north or northeast wind, which would keep most of the region dry with above-average daytime temperatures. If enough moisture wraps around the central low, rain chances would increase closer to the Florida First Coast and Georgia coastal zones, depending on the disturbance's eventual location.
There are currently no signals or expectations for the system to undergo rapid intensification.
