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Tuesday morning tropics check (09/17/2013)

Western Caribbean disturbance satellite image (11/05/2015)
Posted at 8:27 AM, Sep 17, 2013
and last updated 2014-05-02 08:21:38-04

The active period continues in the tropics, with three tropical features of note. Ingrid made landfall in northeastern Mexico yesterday and its remnants still dumping torrential rains over the mountains of northern Mexico. Flooding and landslides remain a concern in that area, but Ingrid has officially been downgraded below tropical depression strength to a remnant low. It will dissipate over Mexico in the next day or so.

 Tropical Storm Humberto is still drifting northward in the middle of the northern Atlantic Ocean with winds at 40 mph as of the 5am advisory. It will continue to move northward as a tropical storm before it dissipates in the far northern Atlantic. It will be no threat to land.

 A disturbance currently near the Yucatan peninsula is showing some signs of organization, and has been given a 30% chance of development into a tropical system in the next 48 hours and a 50% chance of development in the next 5 days. Current forecasts have the disturbance moving west-northwestward into the Bay of Campeche over the next few days, where conditions for development will be more favorable for development.