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Tuesday evening Tropics check (06/04/2013)

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Posted at 3:30 PM, Jun 04, 2013
and last updated 2014-05-02 08:29:14-04

A wave of broad low pressure is situated just west of the Yucatan Peninsula along the southern Gulf of Mexico.  Upper-level winds are helping to direct some of its cloud deck and moisture into the eastern Gulf, where periods of heavy rain are likely tonight through tomorrow.  There is considerable wind flow aloft near this system, which will hinder any effort of the system to rapidly intensify.  Nonetheless, the system will meander over warm Gulf waters for another couple of days, eventually drifting north to northeast.  Heavy rain may spread over the Florida peninsula and parts of the Big Bend by Thursday.

There is a relatively small chance for the disturbance to acquire further tropical characteristics.  The main concern remains high rain accumulations, perhaps exceeding four inches along the Florida west coast.

Elsewhere, there are no areas of immediate concern across the Atlantic basin.