First To Know Weather


Tuesday evening tropical forecast discussion (05/05/2015)

Tropical disturbance satellite/adar image (05/05/2015)
Posted at 3:26 PM, May 05, 2015
and last updated 2015-05-05 15:26:00-04

MIDWAY, Fla. (WTXL) -- The broad disturbance off the southern tip of Florida remains disorganized, but areas of showers and heavier rain have been spreading north and northeastward off the southeast Florida coast and over the northwestern Bahamas.

An ill-defined low-pressure center is forecast to gradually develop over a narrow stream of warm waters in the western Atlantic, while upper-level winds slack off slightly through the next two days.  These features may allow for further organization as it moves slowly northward.  

A tropical or subtropical low may form, and showers and occasional squalls may form around the center.  However, the most intense part of this potential system should stay off the Florida east coast.  There are slight to moderate chances for additional development through the end of the week, perhaps enough for the system to gain tropical or subtropical depression or storm strength.

If it acquires a name at 39 mph sustained wind strength, it will be named Ana.

The system will drift to the north with weak steering currents, perhaps meandering near the Carolina coast by late this week.

Local impacts will be indirect and mainly keeping the region dry.  No significant increase in rain coverage or winds are expected from this system at this time.