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Thursday morning Tropics check (08/16/2018)

Thursday morning First Alert forecast (08/16/2018)
Subtropical Storm Ernesto Forecast Track and Advisory (08/16/2018)
Subtropical Storm Ernesto (08/16/2018)
Posted at 3:48 AM, Aug 16, 2018
and last updated 2018-08-16 01:30:30-04

MIDWAY, Fl. (WTXL) -- The Atlantic is becoming more active, now with Ernesto and another area of low pressure with low potential to develop into a tropical depression.

First, Ernesto. As of the latest advisory (5:00am), Ernesto was a Subtropical Storm with maximum sustained winds of 40 mph. It was located about 605 miles SE of Cape Race, Newfoundland. The system is expected to become non-tropical by Friday (or late Thursday). The storm is not a direct threat to land and it is not expected to strengthen much today.

A new area of interest in the Atlantic is several hundred miles east/southeast of the Windward Islands. This system has a low chance of developing in the short-term.

2-day development chances: 10%.

5-day development chances: 20%.

The system is expected to move into the Caribbean in the next few days. Strong upper level winds are forecast to stay in the eastern Caribbean Sea, which may hinder any quick or noticeable development for this new system.

You can catch the forecast on ABC 27 News starting at 5:00 each weekday morning, as well as ABC 27 News at Noon. First Alert Chief Meteorologist Casanova Nurse has your forecast at 5:00, 5:30, 6:00, and 11:00 this evening.

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