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Thursday Morning Tropics Check

Western Caribbean disturbance satellite image (11/05/2015)
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Taking a look at the tropics today, and things are changing quite a bit. Jerry has now downgraded to a tropical depression and will become a remnant low pressure system as we head into the weekend. The system continues to move Northeast in the central Atlantic at about 7 mph.  The low pressure system over the Northwestern Caribbean Sea (Invest-96) is moving over the Northeastern tip of the Yucatan Peninsula. The system now has a high, 80% risk of becoming a tropical cyclone within the next 48 hours as it enters the Southern Gulf of Mexico. We could be seeing tropical rain from this system on Saturday and Sunday; locally heavier rainfall is possible in some areas.