MIDWAY, Fla. (WTXL) -- We have been monitoring conditions in the western Caribbean and the Yucatan Peninsula region for several days, awaiting the evolution of a pattern that can support a low-pressure disturbance forming in this region of the tropics over the next few days.
There is broad rotation of general low pressure covering both areas of water and land in the Caribbean and central America. High pressure over the western Atlantic will initially direct this field of moisture to the northwest, causing some land interaction with the Yucatan Peninsula, stalling development efforts.
Several projections place this disturbance in the southern Gulf early next week, where waters are marginally warm and upper-level winds may be just light enough for slow development.
There is wide disagreement in the mainstream forecast models in terms of eventual movement, but the low-pressure system is currently forecast to move into the west-central or southwest Gulf toward the middle of next week. This scenario is not set in stone, though.
We'll continue to analyze the pattern and monitor future changes with forecast data in relation to this system.
Elsewhere, a wave of disturbed weather in the open waters of the southern North Atlantic has minimal chances for additional strengthening over the next two to five days.
