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Sunday evening Tropics check (09/16/2018)

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Posted at 5:13 PM, Sep 16, 2018
and last updated 2018-09-16 14:06:56-04

TALLAHASSEE, FL (WTXL) -- The tropics are remaining active, through our named storms are gradually weakening.

Tropical Depression Florence continues to bring heavy rain and flooding to the Carolinas despite the weakening trend. Currently, Florence is about 30 miles south southeast of Greenville, South Carolina with sustained winds of 35 mph. 

This tropical depression is now moving to the north at 14 mph. Over the next day or so, this storm will begin to turn toward the northeast, and enter into the western Atlantic Ocean near New York. Even though Florence will become an extra-tropical low, areas of heavy rain may be possible and this storm continues on its path.

Tropical Depression Joyce is now about 400 miles south of the Azores. Winds are also sustained at 35 mph. 

On the forecast path, Joyce is expected to continue moving east through tonight before turning toward the southeast. Joyce is expected to gradually weaken as it will be entering into an environment with higher wind shear and drier air. 

Post-Tropical Cyclone Helene is about 400 miles north of the Azores and is moving toward the northeast at 30 mph.

What's left of Helene will continue moving toward Ireland and the United Kingdom over the next couple of days.

The area of disturbed weather in the central Caribbean Sea continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Gradual organization may be possible as this low pressure moves into the northwest Caribbean Sea. After that, environmental conditions will not be favorable for further development. Because of this, there is only a 20% chance of formation in the next five days. Heavy rains are still expected over Hispaniola, Jamaica, and Cuba over the next few days.