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Sunday evening Tropics check (09/02/2018)

Florence and disturbance, 09/02/2018
Tropical Storm Florence track, 09/02/2018
Tropical Storm Florence, 09/02/2018
Potential Tropical Cyclone 7 track, 09/02/2018
Potential Tropical Cyclone 7, 09/02/2018
Potential Tropical Cyclone 7, 09/02/2018
Posted at 4:38 PM, Sep 02, 2018
and last updated 2018-09-02 13:28:59-04

TALLAHASSEE, FL (WTXL) -- The tropics are continuing to show some activity with one tropical storm, a potential tropical cyclone, and a new disturbance.

Potential Tropical Cyclone Seven is sitting between Cuba and the central Bahamas and is forecast to continue moving northwestward into the Gulf of Mexico over the next 24 hours.

Environmental conditions continue to become more favorable for further organization and development. There is a 90% chance of formation in the next 5 days because of this. If this storm is able to form, it will take likely take the name Gordon.

This disturbance is forecast to bring rain to parts of southern Florida and the keys on Monday afternoon, with the rainier weather reaching the Big Bend by Tuesday. At this time, this will be the largest threat for our area from this disturbance since this is forecast to head toward the central Gulf Coast states.

Across the Atlantic Ocean, we still have Tropical Storm Florence. This storm is now about 700 miles west northwest of the Cape Verde Islands with sustained winds of 50 mph. This storm continues to move in a west northwest direction at 17 mph.

Florida is still expected to move in a west northwestward direction for the next several days with little strengthening.

Closer to the west coast of Africa, there is a third area of disturbed weather. This disturbance (circled in yellow) will continue to move west into the Eastern Atlantic Ocean where upper levels will become more favorable for development. At this time, there is a 20% chance of formation over the next five days.