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Storm Team Saturday Evening Forecast Discussion 1/12/2013

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Posted at 3:12 PM, Jan 12, 2013
and last updated 2013-01-12 10:56:46-05

High pressure has shifted into the Atlantic now giving us a southerly flow out of the Gulf. This will allow the moisture content withing the lower levels to increase as well as feed a frontal system from the west heading east. Cloud cover will range through the week between partly cloudy to mostly cloudy conditions with patchy fog tonight into Sunday morning and Monday night into Tuesday morning. By Monday the front will have passed over the Mississippi River Valley and begin to effect our western counties with light to moderate rainfall; keeping rain chances at 20% for the time being through Tuesday afternoon. Many of the models indicate the front slowing down by Monday night and forcing most of the energy towards the north keeping most of the intense thunderstorm activity to the central Atlantic states. By Wednesday we begin to see the full potential of this front as it interacts with the Big Bend. Rain chances increase to 40% with temps in the upper 60s and low 70s along with a steady south flow out of the Gulf of Mexico. this means that the chance for isolated thunderstorms is moderate however, the Storm Prediction Center has no indication that these possible thunderstorms may become severe. The front passes by Wednesday morning with temps hovering between the mid and upper 60s and lows in the upper 40s and low 50s. Rain chances do drop however, there seems to be almost a "Spring like" pattern to the area by the end of the week. For now, rain chances will continue through the rest of the seven day outlook but will not exceed 30%.