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Storm Team Monday morning forecast (3/18/2013)

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The unsettledness from Sunday continues today. Isolated to scattered showers get the day going with a few lightning flashes close to the coast. Meanwhile, skies will be mostly cloudy for the rest of us through lunch with temperatures in the 60s and low 70s. Over the next 24 hours we’ll have 2 chances at showers and storms both have at least a slim chance at severe weather. The first chance comes with afternoon heating with a conditional severe threat. Looking at it now, clouds will likely break up by this afternoon allowing highs to climb into the mid 70s. As this happens, the atmosphere, especially in Southwest Georgia, will become more favorable for severe storms. Large hail is the biggest threat after lunch but still be on the lookout for a few stronger wind gusts and maybe an isolated tornado. The severe threat for folks east and southeast of Grady County is largely conditional on if the clouds break up. Will this be the outbreak of the century? Absolutely not, but if we get more sun, we have more heat and we have a severe risk for Southeast Georgia and the rest of the Florida Big Bend. If the clouds stay, we see less heat and a much smaller severe risk with scattered showers and thunder for most of the region. It’ll be monitored all day, just be storm ready and wise for any warnings that may pop. The second chance at showers and storms comes later today into early Tuesday. A cold front will plow west to east across the area during that time bringing with it another line of rain and thunderstorms. The severe risk here is lower than this afternoon but a few stronger ones may linger until sunrise Tuesday. Tuesday through much of Thursday will be pleasant with a ridge of high pressure putting an end to most rain; temperatures will be in the 70s and 40s. Thursday night through Sunday night will be unsettled with a few waves of low pressure producing mostly heavy rain across the region. Stay tuned for more on that situation as we get closer to it, just be prepared for a rainy start to next weekend.

Be safe and have a great Monday!

-Meteorologist Sean Parker