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Storm Team Monday evening forecast (10/13/2014)

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Posted at 3:27 PM, Oct 13, 2014
and last updated 2014-10-13 11:33:32-04

MIDWAY, Fla.  -- From the Storm Team Weather Center ...

Widespread cloudiness will stick around through this evening and tonight, but most of the shower and storm chances will straddle the Apalachicola River and impact areas west of the river later tonight.  Stronger southerly winds will stay in place overnight, keeping vast amounts of moisture and warmth flowing into the Big Bend region, and keeping low temps well into the 70s.  Passing showers and rain will develop early Tuesday and become more numerous throughout the morning, including the pre-dawn hours, and a stronger, more-organized band of heavy rain and embedded storms pushes gradually in from west to east.  Gusty winds will be likely, with some stronger wind gusts inside the thunderstorm band.  A slight risk for an isolated tornado also exists through Tuesday morning and afternoon.  Highs may reach the lower 80s before the system starts to depart and a cold front follows early Wednesday.  Clearer and cooler conditions are expected for midweek and beyond, with mild afternoon highs by the end of the week.

Rain totals may reach one to two inches for many areas Tuesday, with a few spots receiving over three inches of rain.  Localized flooding is possible with excessive rainfall amounts.

Severe weather chances will be confined to Tuesday early morning to Tuesday late afternoon.  The earliest strong thunderstorms are most likely to occur in the western sections of the region, progressing gradually east during the morning and through the afternoon into the Suwannee River Valley.