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Saturday evening Tropics check (10/06/2018)

Tropical Storm Leslie forecast cone (10/06/2018)
Tropical Storm Leslie (10/06/2018)
Potential Tropical Cyclone Fourteen forecast cone (10/06/2018)
Potential Tropical Cyclone Fourteen  (10/06/2018)
Saturday evening Tropics check (10/06/2018)
Saturday evening Tropics check (10/06/2018)
Posted at 6:44 PM, Oct 06, 2018
and last updated 2018-10-06 15:13:29-04

TALLAHASSEE, FL (WTXL) -- There are still two areas in the tropics that we are keeping an eye on. There in an area of disturbed weather that's expected to enter into the Gulf of Mexico in the next day or so, while Tropical Storm Leslie continues to move away from land.

Potential Tropical Cyclone Fourteen is about 300 miles southwest of the Western tip of Cuba with sustained winds of 30 mph. This disturbance is slowly becoming more defined and better organized as it moves closer to the Gulf of Mexico. Models are suggesting that this could become a tropical cyclone in the next 24 to 36 hours. Because of this, the disturbance has been given a 90% chance of development in the next five days. 

Once Potential Tropical Cyclone Fourteen reaches the Gulf, it is forecast to strengthen a bit as it continues to move toward the central and east Gulf Coast. If this disturbance is able to strengthen enough, it would take the name 'Michael.' Models are still unsure about location and timing of where this storm will go and when, but those along the Florida Panhandle need to stay "weather aware." Models are indicating that the Big Bend could see a bit of rain for the second half of the week. 

Tropical Storm Leslie is now about 700 northeast of Bermuda with sustained winds of 60 mph. Leslie is moving east at 12 mph, and will continue this movement through the next several days. 

Tropical Storm Leslie is forecast to take a southeasterly turn by mid-week. This storm is still not a threat to land.