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Storm Team Sunday Evening Forecast Discussion (12/16/2012)

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Posted at 5:07 PM, Dec 16, 2012
and last updated 2012-12-16 12:10:09-05

 

Front seems to be on track with possible Showers tonight with dense fog and mist after 9PM increasing shower and T-storm potential tomorrow afternoon. Pops were raised to 50% and SPC indicates a slight risk for severe weather within our south Georgia counties mainly during peak heating hours with isolated thunderstorms and showers residing within the panhandle. with sufficient heat and the upper Jet showing a ridge out of the south, it is quite probable for severe weather to develop tomorrow. Rainfall totals look to range between a tenth and a half of an inch. I believe the front will keep clouds lingering into Tuesday morning High pressure looks to be centered in Southeastern TX which leads me to believe Cold air advection will be weak into Tuesday morning so I upped lows to the mid 50s and kept a 20% rain chance ending around 10AM. Most of Tuesday will be mostly sunny with cooler highs in the upper 60s. This will last into Wednesday where a secondary front begins to effect us with increase cloud cover into the night. As it stands now, Thursday looks to be the day for rain. with most models indicating the same trend as Monday, I'm going with 40% rain chances with severe weather possible during the afternoon. Models indicate a quick passing of this front. Friday through the weekend should be mostly sunny however, Cold air advection and radiational cooling will play key roles into the weekend. Highs low to mid 60s with lows dropping close to freezing levels Saturday morning.