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Storm Team Satruday Evening Forecast Discussion (12/29/2012)

Posted at 2:59 PM, Dec 29, 2012


A weak front brought scattered showers last night but now, an area of high pressure has reclaimed the southeast. Skies will remain mainly clear however we cannot rule out a few clouds due to residual moisture within the mid and upper levels Sunday into Monday morning. New Years Eve brings an increase in cloud development but it looks like rain models will hold off until New Year Day late morning. Pressure maps and water vapor imagery models indicate a front passing over the area through Tuesday into Wednesday with a surface low trailing right behind the front indicating more rainfall into Thursday. Rain chances will begin at 30% Tuesday and increase to 40% Wednesday with a 50% rain chance Thursday as the surface low passes over head. Though rain chances are high, this doesn't mean we will see strong storms. In fact, upper level models are showing a great lack of instability over the southeast meaning only showers are expected Tuesday through Thursday. 

Mostly Sunny to Partly cloudy skies return by Friday into the next weekend. Temperatures will be rather low tonight, flirting above and below freezing. Freeze Watches are in effect for the entire viewing area tonight into Sunday morning with the same pattern occurring into Monday morning as well. Temps rise to the mid 50s tomorrow afternoon but with the encroaching front and low pressure system, temps will increase gradually to the low 60s then to the upper 60s/low 70s into Tuesday. As the front passes, afternoon high temps drop into the upper 50s and low 60s and remain there through the seven day outlook.