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Monday Morning Tropics Check (08/26/2013)

Western Caribbean disturbance satellite image (11/05/2015)
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Well the tropics are beginning to wake up as we head into the most active month on average, September. For now the Atlantic Basin looks fairly quiet due to a lot of dry air and shear the is dominating the region. This in turn limits the development of any system. However, this may soon change as a new disturbance is coming off the coast of Africa with some models having it overcome this dry air and eventually developing into a tropical system by the middle of the week. Either way, this system is thousands of miles from the United States and does not a pose a threat for at least 2 weeks. If we move our attention to the Gulf of Mexico though, there still is Tropical Storm Fernand in the Bay of Campeche. It made landfall earlier this morning over Veracruz, Mexico, with winds at 50 mph sustained and gusts up to 65 mph. Movement for this system looks to be westward in nature, causing concern for the coast of Mexico as mainly a rain-maker, but none for the United States. In any matter, this storm looks to quickly dissolve over the Mexican terrain as the fuel for it will be cut. As always you can get the latest tropical updates here from Storm Team 27.