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Monday morning First Alert forecast (10/08/2018)

UPDATE: Michael Threatens Florida Panhandle and Big Bend
Michael Forecast track close-up (5:00am 10/08/2018)
Michael Forecast track (5:00am 10/08/2018)
Michael advisory (5:00am 10/08/2018)
Tide Times (10/08/2018)
Beach forecast (10/08/2018)
Marine forecast (10/08/2018)
Monday Day Planner (10/08/2018)
Monday morning First Alert forecast (10/08/2018)
Posted at 3:13 AM, Oct 08, 2018
and last updated 2018-10-08 02:43:04-04

MIDWAY, Fl. (WTXL) -- Obviously, the main local concern for weather this week will be Michael. Odds are by the time the storm makes landfall, it will be a hurricane. Uncertainty in strength, timing, and exact location of landfall exists and as the days until impact get closer, the details should get clearer.

Monday and Tuesday: The local weather pattern will start to get more active as the days progress. We'll be under easterly winds which will promote a warm and increasingly humid set-up. Expect morning lows in the lower to mid 70s with afternoon highs in the mid to upper 80s. Increased moisture may allow for isolated to scattered showers and storms. Rain coverage will be around 30% on Monday with likely 50% or so on Tuesday.

Tropical storm conditions are NOT expected on Monday or Tuesday. These will be the days to prepare for the potential of a tropical storm or hurricane impacting our local counties. 

Monday Marine/Beach forecast information and your Monday Tide Times are below:

Wednesday and Thursday: This period will likely be when Michael (likely a hurricane at this point) brings it's greatest impacts to the local area. It is urgent to be aware of any changes with advisories, watches, warnings, etc. as Michael approaches. Depending on where landfall occurs, impacts will vary. Odds are that a large portion of the local area will feel tropical storm impacts. This includes winds/gusts of 40 mph or greater. Depending on location of landfall, hurricane force winds/gusts are also possible. Heavy rains will be a high likelihood. Coastal areas have to brace for the potential of significant storm surge. Expect lows in the mid to upper 70s and highs in the lower 80s. Rain and wind is nearly certain for both days. Specifics will be ironed out in future updates.

Friday into the weekend: Cooler mornings and drier days are expected after Michael passes. Expect morning lows in the 60s with highs in the mid 80s. Rain is not expected on Friday, though a stray shower or storm may occur this weekend.

You can catch the forecast on ABC 27 News starting at 5:00 each weekday morning, as well as ABC 27 News at Noon. First Alert Chief Meteorologist Casanova Nurse has your forecast at 5:00, 5:30, 6:00, and 11:00 this evening.

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