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Monday evening Tropics check (10/13/2014)

Hurricane Gonzalo forecast track (5pm 10/13/2014)
Posted at 4:37 PM, Oct 13, 2014
and last updated 2014-10-13 12:58:46-04

MIDWAY, Fla. (WTXL) -- The former Hurricane Fay in the middle of the north Atlantic is actively dissipating into a remnant area of low pressure and should no longer be a threat as it diminishes further.

Gonzalo, farther to the south of Fay's leftovers, has been strengthening and has become the season's latest hurricane near St. Martin in the northern Leeward Islands.  The Category 1 hurricane has peak winds of 75 mph and is moving to the northwest at 12 mph.  Gonzalo is forecast, as of late Monday afternoon, to intensify into a Category 3 major hurricane as it curves to the north, then northeast, later this week.  This forecast path will keep Gonzalo well off the U.S. east coast.

Another disturbance, about 1,300 miles east of the center of Hurricane Gonzalo, has a minimal chance to become better organized over the next few days.  A wave of moisture in the far southern Caribbean Sea north of Panama has not shown huge indications of future strengthening, though the disturbance will continue to be monitored.