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Monday evening Tropics check (10/17/2016)

disturbance sat image (10/17/2016)
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MIDWAY, Fla. (WTXL) -- A disturbance near the Bahamas has a disorganized pattern of rain and storms around a broad circulation.  The system is being heavily impacted by a belt of swift winds aloft, hindering intensification efforts.  These upper winds will decrease later this week, which may allow for some strengthening and organization of the tropical low.  The National Hurricane Center gives the system an elevated chance to develop within the next five days.  Even with possible formation into a tropical depression, forecast guidance shows the system remaining in the open Atlantic, moving in a possible zig-zag pattern northward.

If the disturbance forms into a tropical storm, it would be named Otto.

Nicole has been a named tropical system for nearly two weeks, but its demise as such is near.  The hurricane late Monday afternoon is about 600 miles from the coast of Newfoundland, moving northeast into colder waters.  Satellite analysis shows the hurricane quickly losing its warm-core structure, and it will transition into a post-tropical cyclone likely by late Monday or early Tuesday.

Aside from this, there are no other concerns lingering in the tropical Atlantic basin.