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Monday evening Tropics check (10/20/2014)

Gulf disturbance radar/satellite image (10/20/2014)
Posted at 3:37 PM, Oct 20, 2014
and last updated 2014-10-20 15:37:00-04

MIDWAY, Fla. (WTXL) -- A disturbance in the southwestern Gulf of Mexico has been gradually developing Monday, with a distinct low-pressure circulation and vast amounts of moisture just offshore of the Mexican coastline.  The upper-level winds and nearby water temperatures are supportive of further development in the next couple of days, and the National Hurricane Center has classified this system as having a high chance to become a tropical depression within the next five days.  

The system is forecast to move mainly to the east or east-northeast, mostly impact the southern Gulf of Mexico and perhaps some of the land masses in the region.  This path would keep the bulk of the system well to the south of the Florida Big Bend, with only residual upper cloudiness possibly reaching sections of North Florida later this week.  Therefore, local impacts should be quite minimal, according to this projection.

If the system becomes a tropical storm, it will be named Hanna.

In the far eastern Atlantic, a large swirl of low pressure near the Azores may organize into a subtropical system, but its distance from the United States should negate any concerns for future impacts from the system.