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Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine expected to strengthen though uncertainty remains high

This disturbance will soon be upgraded to 'Isaias'
Posted at 11:03 AM, Jul 28, 2020
and last updated 2020-07-29 17:09:31-04

TALLAHASSEE, Fla. (WTXL) — The National Hurricane Center has begun initiating advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine, located about 105 miles south-southwest of St. Croix.

This disturbance will likely soon be upgraded into a Tropical Depression or Tropical Storm, as the NHC says there's a 90 percent chance it'll develop in the next 48 hours. The next name on the list is 'Isaias.'

Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine has max winds of 45 mph and is moving west-northwest at 23 mph. This general motion with a reduction in forward speed is expected over the next few days.

On the forecast track, the system will move near or over Puerto Rico Wednesday night, near or over Hispaniola on Thursday, and near or over the southeastern Bahamas on Friday.

Some increase in strength is forecast Wednesday, with weakening likely on Thursday due to land interaction, and some restrengthening possible late week.

Since this system has future land interaction and doesn't have a fully developed lower level center it's still in the infant stages. The long-term forecast confidence remains LOW. Expect the intensity and track forecast to shift around through the next few days as this systems future becomes more clear.

While it's not something we need to worry about right now, it's certainly possible that some sort of tropical impacts are felt here early next week, even if it's just a few days with higher rain chances. It's a good time to have your preparedness plan updated and ready to go into action, if it's not already.

As always, be sure to follow the ABC 27 First Alert Weather Team on Facebook and Twitter. Be sure to download the Storm Shield App to get watches and warnings delivered straight to your phone to stay updated on your forecast through the week. Get the app today: iPhone/iPad | Android.