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Friday morning tropics check (08/16/2013)

Hurricane Season
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Tropical Storm Erin is still in the far eastern Atlantic ocean and is showing signs of weakening. The storm has maximum sustained winds at 40 mph and winds gusting up to 50 mph. It is currently moving WNW at 16 mph. This storm is moving into an environment that isn't exactly favorable for intensification so the storm will likely be downgraded to a tropical wave within the next 120 hours. 

We are also still watching the broad area of low pressure that will emerge into the Gulf of Mexico soon. This system has been given a 50% chance of possible development within the next 48 hours. As the storm moves into the Gulf conditions aren't exactly favorable for intensification so if it does develop, it will be very slow.  Regardless of development this system will throw some extra tropical moisture into the region which will keep the rain chances extremely high for the weekend.