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Friday morning First Alert forecast (11/30/2018)

Weekend forecast (11/30/2018)
Storm Prediction Center Day 3 Convective outlook (11/30/2018)
Storm Prediction Center - Understanding Risk Categories
Storm Prediction Center Day 2 Convective outlook (11/30/2018)
Forecast map B (11/30/2018)
Tide times (11/30/2018)
Beach forecast (11/30/2018)
Marine forecast (11/30/2018)
Friday day planner (11/30/2018)
Forecast map A (11/30/2018)
Posted at 4:00 AM, Nov 30, 2018
and last updated 2018-11-30 01:38:58-05

MIDWAY, Fl. (WTXL) -- The early week cold spell is over and we will be warming up ahead of a very rainy weekend. Saturday may bring strong storms. After Tuesday, rain chances should end with cold air returning.

Friday: The morning is a bit chilly with temperatures in the 40s across the Big Bend and South Georgia. This afternoon should see the return of 70s for highs as warm south winds continue to moderate the air mass. More clouds are expected today, as well. There is a slight chance of a rain shower late Friday night. Much more rain is expected on Saturday.

Friday Marine forecast information is below:

Saturday: Rain is expected throughout the Big Bend and South Georgia on Saturday. Heavy rain is very possible, with the chance for severe storms also in the picture. The morning will have temperatures in the 60s with highs in the lower to mid 70s.

Wet weather will likely begin early on Saturday morning, with strong storms possible closer to the coast. There is the Standard (Slight) risk of severe weather across the region, meaning that there can be scattered thunderstorms that bring severe threats. The main threat will be strong, damaging winds with isolated tornadoes also possible. Heavy rain can lead to rain totals of 1-3 inches on Saturday.

Below is a graphic from the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) which discusses what each type of severe weather outlook means:

According to the National Weather Service, some local rivers may be more prone to flooding due to the heavy rains. These include the Shoal, Choctawhatchee, and Chipola Rivers.

Sunday: A MARGINAL risk of severe weather is in place for Sunday with more heavy rain possible. Even though the risk is low, damaging winds are possible across the region. An additional 1-2 inches of rain can occur, which can aggravate flooding concerns.

Next week: Through Tuesday, more rain is possible in a scattered fashion. Expect lows in the 60s with highs in the 70s on Monday; Highs will be getting cooler on Tuesday. After that, even colder and drier air returns and likely stays through Friday.

You can catch the forecast on ABC 27 News starting at 5:00 each weekday morning, as well as ABC 27 News at Noon. First Alert Chief Meteorologist Casanova Nurse has your forecast at 5:00, 5:30, 6:00, and 11:00 this evening.

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