For Kentucky Derby, Justify looks just right

Posted at 11:33 PM, May 03, 2018
and last updated 2018-05-05 04:45:43-04

(RNN) – Bob Baffert is America’s preeminent horse trainer, having produced four Kentucky Derby winners, including Triple Crown champion American Pharoah, in the last 21 years.

In Saturday’s 144th running of “the most exciting two minutes in sports” he might be fielding one of his best bets in more than four decades in horse racing.

Justify is the heavy favorite for the 2018 Derby, with 3-1 odds. The three-year-old colt only ran his first race in February, in Santa Anita, CA. He has since raced twice more, in March and again last month.

He won all three races.

In his debut he won by nine and a half lengths, which would easily be a Derby record. Then in March he won with ease on a muddy track before taking his biggest prize yet, the $1 million Santa Anita Derby, in April.

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It’s an impressive race record for a horse so fresh to the track.

“For a young horse, man, he’s got a great mind,” hall of fame jockey Mike Smith, who’s ridden him in two of the victories, told the LA Times. “That might allow him to catch up maybe sooner than a normal horse would take, because of his talent and the mind to go with it.”

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Baffert fully understands what he has in Justify.

"We don't dream to have a horse like him. He’s special,” he told WAVE last month.

Justify is favored just ahead of Mendelssohn (5-1), another 3-year-old under the care of another star trainer, Aidan O’Brien.

The Irishman has fielded winners in some of the world’s biggest races – including the $2 million UAE Derby, which Mendelssohn won in Dubai in March.

But never the Kentucky Derby.

“It’s something we couldn’t really dream about,” he told The New York Times.

 Also among the favorites will be Magnum Moon (6-1), Audible (8-1) and Bolt d’Oro (8-1).

There’s a 20-1 longshot owned by a Saudi prince in the mix, as well. That horse, Hofburg, like Justify has only ran three races before.

But Baffert isn’t worried about him.

“Too lightly raced,” he joked to Sports Illustrated.

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