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WTXL political contributor believes run-off is unlikely in Georgia's governor race

Posted at 4:34 PM, Nov 08, 2018
and last updated 2018-11-08 16:34:00-05

(WTXL) - For the Stacey Abrams campaign, it's all about a run-off right now as her campaign refuses to concede until every vote is counted.  

But our Political Contributor, Dr. James LaPlant, said a run-off in Georgia is unlikely.  

Republican candidate Brian Kemp has a lead of about 60,000 votes and LaPlant said there are anywhere from 2,000 to 20,000 votes still outstanding.

At this point, Abrams probably won't overtake Kemp's lead, but it is possible that absentee votes could bring Kemp down from 50.33 percent of the vote to 49.99, percent, enough to trigger a run-off in Georgia. 

"My sense is that probably not. I think that when everything is tabulated, he still stays above fifty percent," said Dr. LaPlant. "But you know, Stacey Abrams argument is that every ballot needs to be counted, every ballot is worthwhile, every ballot matters and so that's why we've not seen her concede just yet." 

Last week, LaPlant said he was expecting a run-off, but Libertarian candidate, Ted Metz, did not do as well as expected, getting less than 1 percent of the total vote instead of the 1.5 or 2 percent that opinion polls put him at.

LaPlant said even if there is a run-off in the governor's race, Abrams will be facing an uphill battle. because run-offs favor Republicans.