TALLAHASSEE (WTXL) - In May, NOAA's National Hurricane Center forecasted a 70% chance of a below-normal season. On Thursday, they updated the chance of quieter-than normal activity to 90%. The new outlook also lowers the overall expected number of tropical cyclones for the rest of the season.
Originally it was predicted there would be at least 6 to 11 named storms, of which 3 to 6 would become hurricanes. Up to 2 would become major hurricanes. Now, 6 to 10 named storms are forecasted, of which 1 to 4 could become hurricanes with up to 1 major hurricane possible.
The main factors for this change has to do with the continually strengthening of El Niño, and the cooler than average Atlantic Ocean.