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Thursday evening Tropics check (08/21/2014)

Tropical disturbance satellite image (08/21/2014)
Posted at 3:17 PM, Aug 21, 2014
and last updated 2014-08-21 15:17:00-04

MIDWAY, Fla. (WTXL) -- The poorly organized tropical disturbance on the edge of the eastern Caribbean has been investigated by Air Force reconnaissance aircraft Thursday afternoon.  While peak wind gusts aloft have been measured at 40 mph, a well-defined circulation has been difficult to detect.  The system has a whole has been moving more to the northwest, impacting some of the northern islands of the Lesser Antilles.

The National Weather Service still places a medium to high chance for the system to further develop into a tropical depression within the next five days.  However, there's some agreement for the disturbance to maintain a northwesterly track, which may place the system more into the western Atlantic or the Bahamas as opposed to the Gulf of Mexico early next week.  The forecasting is still in the early phases and margins of error are still prone to be large.

There are no other significant areas of disturbed weather elsewhere in the tropics that bear closer watching.