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Deep South Severe Weather may have Local Impact

severe storm potential (02/23/2016)
Posted at 4:25 PM, Feb 22, 2016
and last updated 2016-02-22 11:33:05-05

MIDWAY, Fla. (WTXL) -- Another considerably potent low-pressure system will approach our viewing area from the west late Tuesday through Wednesday, possibly producing a batch of strong and severe thunderstorms that will impact our area primarily in the early morning hours Wednesday, according to current forecast data analysis.

A few severe weather events are possible as this system makes progress through the area from west to east.  The primary threats will come from damaging wind gusts along the storm line, a couple of tornadoes that may develop, and possible waterspouts in offshore waters that may reach the coast.  It will also be quite breezy before and after the thunderstorms pass.

An unusually higher severe storm risk exists roughly along the Florida/Alabama line from Enterprise, Ala., westward, where a "Moderate" severe risk lies.  Tri-state counties have the "Enhanced" risk category, meaning there's a roughly 30% probability of severe weather to occur.  The Storm Prediction Center in Norman, Okla., analyzes patterns and data that determine these severe weather categories.

According to information from a National Weather Service meteorologist, it's been over three years since parts of the region had a Moderate severe weather risk classification from the Storm Prediction Center.

There will be further adjustments to fine tune intensity and timing forecasts.  We will provide updates as the forecast become clearer.